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今天官網在賽前算的

來源：https://www.mlb.com/news/shohei-ohtani-aaron-judge-triple-crown-chances


法官



如果法官5安打 BWJ最多只能2安

如果法官4安打 BWJ最多只能1安

如果法官3安打  BWJ只能0安打

算法原文

‧ If Judge goes 5-for-7 (finishing at .3298) … he would win if Witt went no be
tter than 2-for-12 (finishing at .3292).

‧ If Judge goes 4-for-7 (finishing at .3280) … he would win if Witt went no be
tter than 1-for-12 (finishing at .3276).

‧ If Judge goes 3-for-7 (finishing at .3262) … he would win if Witt went 0-for
-12 (finishing at .3261).


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大谷

1.由於教士已晉級季後賽，可能會讓Arraez休一場，剩下2場假設9打數（全季638數）

2.由於勇士要拼外卡，剩下五場Ozuna應該都會上，假設剩18打數（全季638打數）

3.道奇可能讓大谷休一場，假設剩2場9打數（不過蘿蔔已經確定會讓大谷三場全勤了）

那麼大谷三冠王的狀況是



原文

‧ If Ohtani goes 6-for-9 (finishing at .3106) … he would win if Arraez goes no
 better than 2-for-9 (finishing at .3103) AND Ozuna goes no better than 6-for-18
 (finishing at .3102).

‧ If Ohtani goes 5-for-9 (finishing at .3090) … he would win if Arraez goes no
 better than 1-for-9 (finishing at .3088) AND Ozuna goes no better than 5-for-18
 (finishing at .3086).

‧ If Ohtani goes 4-for-9 (finishing at .3074) … he would win if Arraez goes 0-
for-9 (.3072) AND Ozuna goes no better than 4-for-18 (.3069).




今天的比賽大谷5支4、Arraez是5支3、Ozuna是3支0、BWJ是3支1

雖然這只是粗淺的計算，不過看起來都沒什麼機會了？

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※ 作者: polanco 2024-09-28 12:59:20
※ 文章代碼(AID): #1czuqgrL (Baseball)
※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/Baseball/M.1727499562.A.D55.html