※ 本文轉寄自 ptt.cc 更新時間: 2022-05-27 21:21:10
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作者 標題 [外絮] 贏下第一節=贏下勝利? 淺談第1&3節重要性
時間 Fri May 27 08:09:16 2022
Why 1st and 3rd quarters have mattered in 2022 NBA Playoffs
Brian Martin, for NBA.com
https://tinyurl.com/23wneckt
Why 1st and 3rd quarters have mattered in 2022 NBA Playoffs | NBA.com
Performance in the 1st and 3rd quarters can make or break a team's hopes in the 2022 postseason. ...
Performance in the 1st and 3rd quarters can make or break a team's hopes in the 2022 postseason. ...
In Wednesday’s Game 5 of the Eastern Conference finals, the Boston Celtics
headed to the locker room for halftime trailing the Miami Heat by five points
after scoring just 37 points. It was Boston’s lowest scoring first half not
just of this year’s playoffs but going all the way back to the first round
of the 2018 postseason.
在周三東冠第 5 場比賽中
青賽在半場結束時只得到 37 分
落後邁阿密熱火隊 5 分
這是青賽自2018年季後賽第一輪以來
最低的上半場得分
After Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown combined to score just 10 points on
3-for-16 shooting in the first half, they scored 15 of Boston’s 32 points in
the third quarter, as the Celtics doubled up the Heat’s 16 points and took
an 11-point lead into the fourth quarter. Boston kept Miami at bay the rest
of the way to earn a 93-80 win and a 3-2 series lead. In doing so, the
Celtics are one win from their first NBA Finals trip since 2010.
Jayson Tatum和Jaylen Brown
在上半場 16 投 3 中 僅得到 10 分
他們在第三節得到了全隊 32 分中的 15 分
並幫助球隊在第三節
以32:16的比數倒打熱火16分
帶著11分領先優勢進入第四節
青賽也在剩下的比賽中
以93:80的比數 成功取得本場勝利
並在系列賽獲得3-2聽牌的優勢
只需在一場勝利
即可取得自2010年以來
首次進入總冠軍賽的機會
This was the latest example of the importance of the third quarter, not just
in the conference finals, but throughout the entire 2022 postseason. Let’s
break down the numbers.
這是第三節重要性其中一個例子
不僅在分區決賽中,
而整個 2022 年季後賽中
第三節佔據著一定的重要性
接著讓我們分析其他數據
Closer look: 3rd quarter scoring
Conference finals
Team that wins 3rd quarter wins the game: 6
Team that loses 3rd quarter wins the game: 0
Teams tied the 3rd quarter: 3 (Games 2, 3, 4 of East Finals)
2022 NBA Playoffs overall
Team that wins 3rd quarter wins the game: 48
Team that loses 3rd quarter wins the game: 27
Teams tied the 3rd quarter: 3 (Games 2, 3, 4 of East Finals)
仔細觀察:第三節得分
分區冠軍賽
贏第三節的球隊獲得最終勝利:6
輸第三節的球隊獲得最終勝利:0
第三節平手:3(東區冠軍第2、3、4場)
2022年整體季後賽
贏第三節的球隊獲得最終勝利:48
輸第三節的球隊獲得最終勝利:27
第三節平手:3(東區冠軍第2、3、4場)
Game 5 of the East finals was the first time that the Celtics had won the
third quarter over Miami. Through the first two rounds of play, the Heat
dominated third quarters — outscoring their opponents by a playoff-best 68
points over their first 11 games. They kept that trend going in Game 1,
crushing the Celtics by 25 points in the third quarter and going on to win
the first game of the series. They have not won a third quarter since. The
teams tied in Games 2, 3 and 4 and the Celtics turned the tables on the Heat
in Game 5.
東部決賽第五場是青賽第一次在第三節戰勝熱火隊。
在前兩輪比賽中,熱火隊在第三節佔據主導地位
在前 11 場比賽中比對手多得 68 分
他們也在第一場比賽中保持了這個優勢
在第三節以 25 分的優勢擊敗了青賽隊,
並贏得了系列賽的第一場比賽。
但那以後,他們沒有贏下任何一場第三節。
兩隊在第 2 場、第 3 場和第 4 場比賽中打成平手,
而青賽隊在贏下第五場後 逆轉了整個系列賽
In the West, the third-quarter winner has correlated to the game winner in
each of the first four games. Golden State outscored Dallas in the third
quarter by 10 points in Game 1, 12 points in Game 2 and nine points in Game 3
as they built a 3-0 series lead. With their season on the line, the Mavericks
responded not only with their best game overall, but their best third
quarter. They outscored the Warriors by 14 points to build a 29-point lead
that was insurmountable in the fourth quarter of Game 4.
在西區,第三節的獲勝者該比賽的獲勝者都有關聯性。
勇士隊Game 1第三節以 10 分領先獨行俠
在Game2第三節領先 12 分,Game3第三節領先 9 分
並以 3-0 領先整個季後賽。
隨著賽季即將進入尾聲
獨行俠展現出最好的比賽
並打出他們最好的第三節作為回應。
他們以第三節 14 分的優勢領先勇士隊
建立了 29 分難以被逆轉的優勢
When we look at which players are dominating the third quarters in the
conference finals, the top two scorers represent teams that are trailing in
each series — Jimmy Butler (8.8 ppg on 52.4% shooting) for Miami and Spencer
Dinwiddie (7.0 ppg on 69.2% shooting) for Dallas. Keep in mind that Butler
missed the second half of Game 3 — a game the Heat would win without him —
due to right knee inflammation. While he’s played in both Games 4 and 5,
Butler has struggled, scoring just 19 points on 21.9% shooting over the past
two games.
https://imgur.com/knWTdcp
讓我們看看哪些球員在分區決賽的第三節佔據主導地位
前兩名得分手都是該系列賽中落後的球隊
熱火隊Jimmy Butler (場均 8.8 分,命中率 52.4%)
獨行俠Spencer Dinwiddie(場均 7.0 分,命中率 69.2%)
註:Butler因右膝發炎缺席了Game 3的下半場
但熱火隊贏下了該場比賽
雖然Butler參加了第 4 場和第 5 場比賽,
但他的表現一直很掙扎,
在過去的兩場比賽中,
他的投籃命中率為 21.9%,僅得到 19 分
Closer look: 1st quarter scoring
Conference finals
Team that wins 1st quarter wins the game: 6
Team that loses 1st quarter wins the game: 3
Teams tied the 1st quarter: 0
2022 NBA Playoffs overall
Team that wins 1st quarter wins the game: 52
Team that loses 1st quarter wins the game: 23
Teams tied the 1st quarter: 3
仔細觀察:第一節得分
分區冠軍賽
贏第一節的球隊獲得最終勝利:6
輸第一節的球隊獲得最終勝利:3
第一節打平:0
2022年整體季後賽
贏第一節的球隊獲得最終勝利:52
輸第一節的球隊獲得最終勝利:23
第一節打平:3
Through the first nine games of the conference finals — five in the East and
four in the West — the team that won the first 12 minutes went on to win the
game 66.7% of the time (6 of 9). The three times where a team lost the first
quarter, but went on to win the game, each time the winning team dominated
the third quarter.
在 9 場分區冠軍賽中
有 6 場第一節領先並贏得該場勝利(勝率為 66.7%)
剩下三場 雖然輸掉第一節
但球隊都統治了第三節並獲得了該場勝利
Game 1 East finals: Miami loses 1st quarter by 3 points, wins 3rd quarter by
25 points, wins game by 11 points
Game 2 West finals: Golden State loses 1st quarter by 7 points, wins 3rd
quarter by 12 points, wins game by 9 points
Game 5 East finals: Boston loses 1st quarter by 2 points, wins 3rd quarter by
16 points, wins game by 13 points
In those three games combined, the winning teams lost the first quarters by
12 total points, but won the third quarters by 53 total points. Additionally,
they won the games by 33 total points.
東區冠軍賽第一場:
熱火第一節輸 3 分,第三節贏 25 分,最終贏11分
西區冠軍賽第二場:
勇士第一節輸 7 分,第三節贏 12 分,最終贏 9 分
東區冠軍賽第五場:
青賽第一節輸 2 分,第三節贏 16 分,最終贏 13 分
在這三場比賽中,
獲勝的球隊在第一節總共輸掉了 12 分,
但在第三節贏了 53 分。並以 33 分的總分贏得了比賽。
The rule of ‘win the first quarter and win the game’ has been consistent
throughout the playoffs. Over the 69 games played in the first round and
conference semifinals, the winning team won the first quarter 46 times, lost
the first quarter 20 times and was tied after the first quarter three times.
Those 46 wins in 69 games equates to a 66.7% win percentage — the exact same
number as the conference finals thus far.
贏了第一節就贏了比賽的守則
貫穿了整個季後賽
在前兩輪的69場比賽中有46場獲勝球隊在第一節就取得了優勢
20場首節落後,3場打成平手。
66.7%的勝率與分區決賽勝率完全相同。
As the Warriors make their second attempt at closing out the Mavericks —
this time with home-court advantage at Chase Center — will either (or both)
of these trends play out once again? So far, the third quarter has been the
one to watch in this series. But watch out for Luka Doncic in the first as he
leads all scorers at 10.8 points per game in the first 12 minutes in the
conference finals.
今晚勇士隊有第二次的機會嘗試關門
且這次擁有主場優勢
會再次上演上述的數據嗎?
到目前為止,第三節一直是這個系列中值得關注的一個重點。
但請注意Luka Doncic
他在分區冠軍賽的第一節
以場均 10.8 分領先著其他人。
https://imgur.com/x69reaV
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→ : 今年拿冠後應該可以暫別08那冠了吧1F 05/27 08:10
推 : 我只知道誰得分多誰贏下勝利2F 05/27 08:12
→ : 我不認同,我只認同贏下四節分數加總的會勝利3F 05/27 08:16
推 : 贏球真理就是總得分比對方多就好,那節打的好不好4F 05/27 08:16
→ : 都是假的
→ : 都是假的
推 : 我只知道賽末鐘響時,分數多的贏6F 05/27 08:19
→ : 根據我長期的觀察 第四節結束領先的會贏7F 05/27 08:20
推 : 有哪一節領先是不重要的嗎8F 05/27 08:21
→ : 如果只打一節的話 是9F 05/27 08:24
→ : 不是 你有辦法單節領先 那其他節領先的機率也大啊10F 05/27 08:24
→ : 除了第四節進入垃圾時間以外
→ : 除了第四節進入垃圾時間以外
推 : 那以後只打一節就好 別浪費時間了12F 05/27 08:25
推 : 論把球投進籃裡的重要性13F 05/27 08:25
推 : 勇士表示:?我們都開局差 第四節再來大逆轉14F 05/27 08:25
推 : 不是放個數據,文章很長,就不是廢文15F 05/27 08:29
→ : 分數多的贏 分數少的輸16F 05/27 08:31
→ : 前面幾樓的看法跟我相同耶……17F 05/27 08:33
推 : 第一輪狼熊,狼第一節第三節都很能打,然後咧?18F 05/27 08:40
推 : 我認為第1節很重要、還有第3, 4,還有2 (廢話...19F 05/27 08:40
→ : )
→ : )
推 : 感謝分享21F 05/27 08:44
→ : 淺談48分鐘後分數多的重要性其次是53分鐘22F 05/27 08:44
推 : 勇士前四場第一節只贏過一次23F 05/27 08:48
推 : 為何啊 我怎麼沒找到解釋 只看到一堆數字24F 05/27 08:49
→ : 中國都說勇三瘋25F 05/27 08:56
噓 : 我覺得2,4節也很重要26F 05/27 08:58
→ : 你這樣本數又超小,根本隨機分佈,最多講一個首節
→ : 領先跟勝負正相關,但這一樣廢話
→ : 你這樣本數又超小,根本隨機分佈,最多講一個首節
→ : 領先跟勝負正相關,但這一樣廢話
→ : 總分比較重要29F 05/27 08:59
推 : 我知道的是 如果一二三四節分數都領先 這場很可能獲30F 05/27 09:01
→ : 勝
→ : 勝
推 : 講廢話、每個球隊只要加強進攻與防守就是總冠軍32F 05/27 09:02
推 : 勇士:我以為比賽只打下半場就夠了33F 05/27 09:22
推 : 分析這有什麼意思34F 05/27 09:28
推 : 勇士不同意35F 05/27 09:33
推 : 我知道 53分鐘那節最重要36F 05/27 09:36
噓 : 這個也叫分析...記者是沒讀過研究所嗎37F 05/27 09:36
推 : 我認為是第四節結束時還保持領先比較重要38F 05/27 09:56
推 : 第四節打完分數多的對贏球的重要性39F 05/27 10:05
推 : 勇士對灰熊幾乎落後全塲只贏最後幾分鐘40F 05/27 10:08
推 : 我發現如果第四節結束還領先,好像就贏了41F 05/27 10:14
推 : 我只知道第四節贏的時候100%會贏得勝利42F 05/27 10:16
推 : 樣本也太少了43F 05/27 10:28
推 : 今年真的難看44F 05/27 12:20
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