※ 本文為 cuteman0725 轉寄自 ptt.cc 更新時間: 2013-09-02 18:15:41
看板 TY_Research
作者 標題 [情報] 15W形成
時間 Sun Sep 1 22:46:33 2013
圖:http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/wp1513.gif
WTPN31 PGTW 011500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
REF/A/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/010921ZSEP13//
AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W (FIFTEEN) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
011200Z --- NEAR 25.9N 124.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 070 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 25.9N 124.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 26.7N 125.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 27.5N 126.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 28.2N 126.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 28.5N 127.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 29.5N 127.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 000 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 31.7N 127.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 35.9N 130.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
011500Z POSITION NEAR 26.1N 124.5E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W (FIFTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 197 NM
WEST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011200Z
IS 7 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 012100Z, 020300Z, 020900Z AND 021500Z.
THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN
PEARL HARBOR HI 010921Z SEP 13 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT
(WTPN21 PGTW010930).//
NNNN
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推 :路徑圖第一個點 從桃園登陸 穿過台北盆地 頭城出海XD1F 09/01 22:54
→ :不要阿我禮拜二要去日本耶2F 09/01 22:57
推 :!!3F 09/01 22:59
推 :前面是蘇力的反方向路徑XD4F 09/01 23:02
→ :連結好像都開不了...5F 09/01 23:05
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→ :另感覺這真的是在斜風區的南端生成 不熱不溫
推 :網址連不上去 是我的問題嗎?8F 09/01 23:38
Anonymouse.org
Anonymouse ...
Anonymouse ...
→ :或是用FNMOC也可看JTWC的預測路徑圖(不會被擋)10F 09/01 23:40
推 :應該是jtwc擋hinet...11F 09/01 23:42
推 :謝謝樓上12F 09/01 23:42
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推 :感謝~~~15F 09/01 23:58
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→ :就是會 所以會在數天內成為溫帶系統GG17F 09/02 00:19
推 :那是否意味它對日本的威脅會遠大於台灣18F 09/02 00:21
推 :冷(雖然乾)空氣和暖空氣的可用位能也是這個系統目前19F 09/02 00:33
→ :的能量來源,所以北方乾冷空氣不算阻力
→ :的能量來源,所以北方乾冷空氣不算阻力
推 :這傢伙的能量來源是否就是冷暖空氣的對峙?21F 09/02 02:10
→ :冷暖空氣對峙反而容易變成斜壓系統 可能有其他因素23F 09/02 07:02
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