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完整標題：The Worst-Case Estimate for U.S. Coronavirus Deaths
發稿單位：DNYUZ
發稿時間：Mar.13, 2020
撰 稿 者：DNYUZ
原文連結：https://bit.ly/39PFiLV



相較之下，美國這個流感季有 2萬~5萬人因流感而死亡。

部分摘錄:

The C.D.C.’s scenarios were depicted in terms of percentages of the
population. Translated into absolute numbers by independent experts using
simple models of how viruses spread, the worst-case figures would be
staggering if no actions were taken to slow transmission.

Between 160 million and 214 million people in the U.S. could be infected over
the course of the epidemic, according to one projection. That could last
months or even over a year, with infections concentrated in shorter periods,
staggered across time in different communities, experts said. As many as
200,000 to 1.7 million people could die.

And, the calculations based on the C.D.C.’s scenarios suggested, 2.4 million
to 21 million people in the U.S. could require hospitalization, potentially
crushing the nation’s medical system, which has only about 925,000 staffed
hospital beds. Fewer than a tenth of those are for people who are critically
ill.


心得:

不是小感冒，請大家戴口罩，勤洗手。

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