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Ranking the Most Overrated NBA Players

NBA最過譽球員排行榜
GRANT HUGHES
JULY 27, 2023

5. DeMar DeRozan, Chicago Bulls

There aren't many players you'd trust more than DeMar DeRozan to create a good s
coring chance from a one-on-one standstill matchup. His bag is deep, his footwor
k in the mid-post impeccable and his foul-drawing craft second to none.

當你需要有人進行單打時，很少球員能得到比DDR更多的信任。他的技巧優秀、中距離的腳
步精確，吸引犯規的能力更是無與倫比。

That's why DeRozan has ranked in the 88th percentile or better in isolation scor
ing efficiency across each of the last four seasons. A six-time All-Star, he own
s a career average of 21.0 points per game.

這就是為什麼DDR能在過去四個賽季裡都擁有超過聯盟88%或更高的單打得分效率的原因。他
是6次全明星而且生涯場均21分。

And yet, he was an easy inclusion on our list because DeRozan's individual bucke
t-getting prowess has led to precious little team success and comes with a level
 of defensive ineptitude that basically cancels out (at best) the value he provi
des as a scorer. Throw in a career-long reluctance to work off the ball or shoot
 threes, and DeRozan has essentially pigeonholed himself as a high-usage weapon
who limits his team's offensive ceiling and can't scale down into a supporting r
ole because he doesn't contribute enough in other areas.



In 11 of his first 12 seasons, DeRozan's teams had higher net ratings with him o
ff the floor than on. Though his Chicago Bulls have played better with him in th
e game than out over the last two years, the defensive issues have persisted, an
d the friction between him and Zach LaVine is a direct result of DeRozan's inabi
lity to help when he's not operating as a first option.



Limited in key ways and tricky to integrate into a team concept, DeRozan is an e
lite individual scorer who has yet to prove he can do enough in other areas to d
rive success.

受限於此，DDR很難融入球隊的戰術，他是一名優秀的個人得分手，但他尚未證明自己在其
他方面能夠做出足夠的貢獻來推動球隊取得成功。

4. Kawhi Leonard, LA Clippers

Hypothetically, if you were drafting individual players as the first pieces of a
 title-chasing roster *and were guaranteed full health*, Kawhi Leonard would pro
bably come off the board somewhere in the top 10. Maybe even the top five.

假設你正在為一支追求總冠軍的球隊挑選球員，並且能保證他身體狀況完好，可愛可能會在
名單中排名前十，甚至前五。

Unfortunately, that asterisked caveat about health doesn't exist in the real wor
ld, and we can't ignore it in evaluating Leonard.
None of this is his fault, but the two-time champ, two-time Defensive Player of
the Year and two-time Finals MVP simply cannot summon his best self over a full
season anymore. He's played 60 games or fewer every year since 2016-17 and has b
owed out of his last two postseasons early with significant knee injuries that r
equired surgery.


不幸的是，在現實世界中並不存在這種保證身體狀況完好的情況，我們不能忽視這一點來評
估可愛。



Now 32 and toting a health history that suggests 30-plus missed games should be
the minimum expectation, Leonard doesn't belong among the league's elite unless
you're talking on a per-minute basis.
Load management is guaranteed to limit him from October to April, and that's bou
nd to hurt his team's playoff seeding. And now that we know even the most carefu
l treatment during the year won't keep Leonard from breaking down in the playoff
s, it's hard to believe it's even possible to have him at his best when it matte
rs most.

現年32歲的可愛帶著一份傷病史，表明他缺席30場以上的比賽是最低期望值。

很難相信他能在最重要的時刻達到最佳狀態。

A great player for 50 games spread across several months is nothing to sneeze at
. But Leonard's unavailability is now his defining feature. Sad as that is, we n
eed to recognize he's no longer at home in the league's top superstar tier.



3. Jonas Valanciunas, New Orleans Pelicans

Given the rise of better stats, we should be smart enough to know that a center
averaging a double-double doesn't mean what we used to think it did. For example
, we now understand that the best big men can survive defensively in space, lowe
r the accuracy (and even attempt rates) on opponent shots around the rim and gen
erally do more than take up room in the lane.




Jonas Valanciunas looks like a star if viewed through a 1996 lens. But his 2022-
23 averages of 14.1 points and 10.2 rebounds on 54.7 percent shooting don't hold
 up from a modern perspective.

假如回到1996年，大V看起來會像一個明星球員。但從現代的角度來看，他在2022-23賽季的
場均14.1分和10.2個籃板（命中率54.7%）並不稱得上出色。

New Orleans seemed to value his ability to score on the block last season, and V
alanciunas wound up with the highest post-up frequency in the league. But he onl
y managed .98 points per attempt, which ranked in the 56th percentile. All those
 post touches weren't fatal with Zion Williamson out of action, but any team tha
t prizes spacing (which is all of them) and clear driving lanes should never dum
p the rock into Valanciunas, which basically erases his offensive worth.



The real trouble is on the other end, where Valanciunas' immobility makes him a
target in pick-and-roll coverage. Unable to switch onto guards, he tends to drop
 toward the bucket, which isn't a great alternative. When designated as the prim
ary defender, Valanciunas allowed opponents to shoot 65.3 percent inside six fee
t, the second-worst figure among players who guarded at least 450 shots at close
 range.



Valanciunas is tough and he competes, but his best skills don't drive winning. A
nd his shortcomings can low-key undercut his team's chances at success.

大V是個堅韌的球員，他競爭意識很強，但他最擅長的技能並不能帶來勝利。而且他的缺點
可能會悄悄削弱他所在球隊的成功機會。

2. Dillon Brooks, Houston Rockets

Dillon Brooks might not have landed here if he'd signed a contract for the mid-l
evel exception or less following his unceremonious dismissal from the Memphis Gr
izzlies. But the Houston Rockets swooped in and outbid everyone in handing the d
efense-first 27-year-old a four-year deal that could be worth up to $90 million
with incentives.



That's a lot of money for the player who had the lowest Box Plus/Minus of anyone
 who logged at least 2,000 minutes last season.

這對於上賽季至少上場2000分鐘的球員中BPM最低的球員來說是很多錢。

Brooks' value comes entirely on defense, but his contributions on that end have
rarely negated the damage he does offensively. Of the 65 players who attempted a
t least 900 shots last season, Brooks' 49.4 true shooting percentage ranked dead
 last.

狄龍的價值完全來自於防守，但他在進攻方面的傷害抵銷了他防守的貢獻。在上賽季裡至少


There's a strong case to be made that Brooks was the single most damaging offens

ive player in the league last season, and it's not like he's been much better in
 the past. He's never once posted a true shooting percentage within spitting dis
tance of the league average. That level of offensive ineffectiveness is hard to
deal with at any position, but it's particularly damaging on the wing, where mos
t clubs expect to get relatively efficient scoring.



Add in all the counterproductive bluster and bear-poking that backfired so often
 over the last several years, and the Rockets are giving quality-starter money t
o a player who—statistically and according to the Grizzlies' handling of his fr
ee agency—does more harm than good.

綜合以上，再過去幾年中經常適得其反的虛張聲勢和激怒對手的行為，火箭給了這位球員優
質先發級的薪水，但根據數據和灰熊處理他的方式來看，這很明顯是弊大於利。

1. Domantas Sabonis, Sacramento Kings


How is it possible for a three-time All-Star center who just finished a season w
ith averages of 19.1 points, a league-leading 12.3 rebounds and 7.3 assists to b
e overrated?

一名得過三次全明星的中鋒，上賽季場均得到19.1分，聯盟最高的12.3個籃板和7.3次助攻
，怎麼可能被高估呢？

Well, start with the fact that he was essentially outplayed by Kevon Looney in t
he Sacramento Kings' first-round loss to the Golden State Warriors. That series
swung in part on Sabonis' inability to shoot from the perimeter, put the ball on
 the floor in space or defend the rim. Those three shortcomings mattered far les
s during the regular season, when opponents didn't study up and force the Kings
center out of his comfort zone.



Sabonis is an immensely gifted offensive player, but he's also limited. For a Ki
ngs team that is now concerned with succeeding in the playoffs, those limitation
s are meaningful. If he can't shore up his specific and obviously exploitable we
aknesses, Sabonis will struggle to be a factor in the postseason games Sacrament
o wants to win. The Warriors provided the book on how to marginalize Sabonis, an
d future playoff opponents will have read it carefully.



Compounding matters, the Kings handed Sabonis a contract extension that'll pay h
im $217 million over the next five years. That's max-level cash for a player who
se postseason minutes against Golden State coincided with a minus-9.5 net rating
.
An effective regular-season weapon who had a great deal to do with the Kings' 20
22-23 leap, Sabonis comes with too many conspicuous failings to warrant his star
 reputation and salary.

王隊的2022-23賽季的進步中有很大功勞，但他的明顯缺點太多，無法證明他值得明星級球
員的聲譽和薪水。





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※ 作者: c27932589 2023-07-30 14:57:23
※ 文章代碼(AID): #1anWdLpU (NBA)
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