---

 
https://psee.io/655c9v
 
The first round of the 2024 NBA Draft has come and gone, and it was a wild
ride with surprises up and down the board as well as a few trades that no one
saw coming.
 
I’ll have full draft grades out after the second day of the draft ends
Thursday night. But for now, here are the teams that I thought did
particularly well on Day 1, a couple of teams whose choices I didn’t totally
understand, and two things that I felt were worth commenting on despite
feeling relatively ambivalent about both.
 
2024年NBA選秀的第一輪結束了，而這一輪很瘋狂充滿了驚喜、起伏與幾個沒人預期的交易
。
 
我(Vecenie)在第二天結束後才會出完整的選秀評分，這裡是我認為一些第一天做得特別好
的球隊、幾個我無法完全理解的選擇以及2件我雖然感覺矛盾但值得討論的東西。
 
贏家
 
Utah Jazz猶他爵士
 
This is shaping up to be my favorite team draft of the event after Day One.
The Jazz did a remarkable job letting the board come to them after reportedly
being in trade discussions earlier in the day to move up. Instead of giving
up some of their future picks to slide up the board and get the guy they
wanted, they stood pat and let him fall to them. I wouldn’t have put the
odds particularly high that Cody Williams would have fallen to No. 10 when
the day started, but because the Pistons surprised with Ron Holland at No. 5,
the Hornets took Tidjane Salaun at No. 6 ahead of the Spurs, the Spurs moved
out of No. 8 in a deal to Minnesota, and then the Grizzlies took Zach Edey at
No. 9, the Jazz hit essentially a three-outer on the river and ended up with
their guy.
 

 
(球員球探報告 略)
 
Then the Jazz took Isaiah Collier at No. 29. Collier was a polarizing player
for scouts this year. I ended up with him at No. 19. The best flashes of
Collier make one think he could be an All-Star. The bad moments make you
believe he’s more likely to be a backup point guard. Unsurprisingly given
that, there’s a wide range of opinions league-wide on his future.
 

 
But the Jazz could use a bit more power in the backcourt. They’re quite
small and skinny back there, with Collin Sexton, Keyonte George, and Jordan
Clarkson getting most of the reps. Those players are, by and large, pull-up
shooters and guys who hit catch-and-shoot jumpers. Collier is a serious
rim-pressure player who will attack and find creases where they sometimes don
’t exist. He’ll hit kickouts and make high-level passing reads. If he can
iron out the turnovers and develop a more consistent shot, this has potential
to be the kind of guard the Jazz needed. Again, this class is all about
informed bets based on your situation. Collier is a great informed bet for
the Jazz.
 
但爵士隊的後場確實需要更多的力量。他們的後場相對較小且瘦弱，Sexton、George和
Clarkson佔據了大部分的上場時間。這些球員大多數是投籃手，能夠在接球後跳投。

Collier對於爵士隊來說是個很好的明智賭注。
 
In total, the Jazz took serious swings on upside on a roster that desperately
needed such swings. This is a draft that makes sense, and now we’ll find out
what they do at No. 32 on Thursday. This could really be a positive class for
Danny Ainge, Justin Zanik and company if they hit on the right player there.
 

 
 
Washington Wizards巫師
 
The Wizards swung multiple big moves today, and it completely altered the
direction of their franchise.
 
巫師今天做出了數個重大決定，並大幅度的改變了球隊的方向。
 
First, they agreed to trade Deni Avdija to Portland for an absolute haul of
assets. The team received the No. 14 pick and will also receive a 2029
first-round pick, two second-round picks, and Malcolm Brogdon. Most NBA front
office sources who spoke with The Athletic regarding this deal said that
while they believe in Avdija and think his contract is about to become one of
the most valuable across the NBA (he’ll make under $12 million in 2027-28),
they felt like this was more than they would have traded for Avdija. No one
would go so far as to call it an “overpay,” but there was agreement that
this was a strong return for a Wizards team that entered the day pretty
loaded with big wings in Avdija, Bilal Coulibaly and Kyle Kuzma.
Additionally, two of those sources felt that while Avdija is terrific, he’s
ultimately going to be more beneficial to a team that is trying to win now as
opposed to in the early stages of a rebuild.
 
首先，他們同意將Deni Avdija交易至波特蘭，以換取大量資產。球隊獲得了第14順位選
秀權，還將在2029年獲得一個首輪選秀權、兩個次輪選秀權和Malcolm Brogdon。大多數與

 
 
The Wizards also drafted Perth Wildcats big man Alex Sarr, the player I have
ranked at No. 1 on my board. We need to be clear here: Sarr is no sure thing
to be a star. He is athletic and a terrific defender. He’s long and mobile
and has the potential to be the kind of defender that every team is looking
for with how much ground he can cover, particularly across the weak side of
the court. Offensively, he has potential to shoot, has potential to handle
the ball and showed some short-roll passing flashes throughout the year. All
of this is theoretical, though. Sarr still has a ways to go developmentally.
The good news is that with the Wizards, he’s going to have time. They’re
going to be patient and allow him to continue to grow and mature over the
next few years, and hopefully become the kind of perimeter offensive and
game-breaking defensive player that teams hunt far and wide for on across the
globe.
 

 
Washington used the No. 14 pick on Pittsburgh guard Bub Carrington, who was
probably the player that I was highest on compared to the overall consensus
this season. I had him at No. 8 on my board and think he’s a tremendous
upside swing to fill the team’s need for a lead guard. He is a real
dribble-pass-shoot threat with awesome ball-screen instincts as one of the
youngest players in the class at just 18. He is a tremendous shot-maker as a
pull-up scorer already. As a passer and playmaker, he sees the court well and
clearly knows how to read the defense. Defensively, he got better throughout
the season. On top of that, he’s on a remarkably positive growth trajectory.
He was just 5-foot-8 when he was a sophomore in high school before shooting
up to around 6-foot-1 as a senior, and then continuing to grow to 6-4 before
playing a game at Pittsburgh. He didn’t have the frame to really attack the
rim then, and he’s still learning. Carrington was my favorite home run swing
in the class given what he can already do, and what I think he’s capable of
down the road.
 

The team finished its first-round picks with Kyshawn George, a player I’m
not quite as high on relative to where they took him — No. 24, after trading
the No. 51 pick to New York to move up two spots. But they’re clearly
valuing the upside trajectory here. George is another physical late bloomer
who just sprouted to 6-foot-8 within the last 18 months after growing up as a
lead guard. My issue with George is that despite turning 21 in December, he’
s never actually been all that productive. He averaged under three points per
game in the professional second division French league in 2022-23, then this
year averaged under eight points per game. He is 6-foot-7 with long arms and
can shoot, though, so I at least understand the swing.
 
巫師最後選下了Kyshawn George，相對於巫師選擇他的第24順位來說，我對他的評價不高

 
In total, the goal here for the Wizards was simple: They tried to max out on
upside swings this year, with a type of player that they frankly lacked last
year outside of Coulibaly. Now, they have some real swings, and giving time
to this younger group of players gives them the added benefit of likely not
being very good next season, when the 2025 NBA Draft is shaping up to be much
stronger than this one at the top with names like Cooper Flagg, Dylan Harper,
Ace Bailey and more. This is a direction for the organization, and I’m
excited to see what this team looks like even if guys like Sarr, Carrington
and George are all more longer-term projects than ready-made NBA players.
 

 
Houston Rockets and Reed Sheppard 火箭與Reed Sheppard
 
To me, this is the best mix of talent and fit in the first round. I had
Sheppard at No. 2 on my board, and I love that he ended up in Houston where
his strengths will be accentuated and his potential weaknesses will be
mitigated by the players around him.
 

 
Sheppard is the best shooter in the class, and he enters a situation in
Houston where he’ll get to play with several younger players like Jalen
Green, Amen Thompson and potentially even Cam Whitmore, who have a chance to
break down defenses when they’re in their prime. He also gets to play with
Alperen Sengun, a combination in ball screens and dribble-handoffs that has
potential to be dynamic. Sheppard is also one of the best transition players
in the class, and he’ll pair with the best transition player in last year’s
draft class in Thompson and another terrific transition player in Green. Can
you imagine Thompson pushing the pace and finding Sheppard as a trailer
behind the play after forcing defenders to filter to the rim? Or what about
Thompson sprinting out to take advantage of Sheppard’s ability as a
hit-ahead passer, where he is the best in the class at that particular skill?
 

Thompson迅速往前衝，利用Sheppard作為提前傳球者的能力，而他在這項特定技能上他是
本屆最佳？
 
Defensively, I also love that Houston will have the kind of length on the
wings and coverage across the court athletically to account for his size and
tendency to gamble by using his elite anticipation to get steals and blocks.
Sheppard will need to improve as a one-on-one defender and get stronger, no
doubt. But the Rockets have potential to play an extremely aggressive defense
around him that forces turnovers and creates those odd-man breaks that make
him so lethal with this group.
 

 
If Sheppard is going to work out in the NBA, I think he’s found the perfect
home. He’s entering a young core that needs his shooting ability to space
the court and could also use his ability to connect pieces around him with
quick reads and floor spacing. I think there’s some serious upside in
pairing Sheppard, Thompson and Green together if Green and Sheppard can just
improve a little bit on defense. Their skill sets in the backcourt are
incredibly complementary of one another, and in today’s NBA, you need
multiple playmakers and ballhandlers all on the court at once.
 

 
LeBron James and Austin Reaves (plus the Lakers, but with a caveat)
LeBron James與Austin Reaves(與湖人，但有前提)
 
Look, this is an easy one. I had Dalton Knecht right around the top 10 on my
board, and he dropped to No. 17. More than that, he fills a significant need
for the Lakers, who were just 28th in the league in 3-point attempt rate this
past season. They finished eighth in 3-point percentage, but I’m a bit
worried that this number was boosted by aberrant shooting seasons by Rui
Hachimura and D’Angelo Russell, along with even a 41 percent year from
LeBron James.
 

異常投籃賽季，以及LeBron James的41%三分命中率所提升。
 
Now with Knecht, the Lakers have a serious shooter who will need to be
guarded from every inch of the halfcourt area. He’s a tremendous off-ball
scorer who moves exceedingly well away from the ball and flies off of actions
at a high level. Defenses are going to have to pay attention to him, or else
he will get loose and fire from 3. But even if they get a late closeout on
him, Knecht is also awesome at attacking closeouts and driving. There’s more
to his game as a scorer than simply his shooting. He can get into the lane
and finish with touch or vertical pop. He can take midrange jumpers as a
counter. And, yes, he can fire 3s off of real actions.
 

That’s going to open up a ton of space for guys James and Austin Reaves as
drivers. They’re going to have so much more room to operate around the
court. Teams won’t be able to sag off of their man quite as easily, for fear
of either of those two players kicking out and hitting Knecht for an easy 3
(which he will make at a good clip). This should be a serious offensive
upgrade over the next couple of years.
 

 
The caveat here is on the defensive end. Reaves got much better on the
defensive end as the season went along in 2023-24, but I worry about pairing
the two of them together without an elite perimeter defender between them.
Teams will likely try to attack both of them in space and with matchups that
aren’t ideal for either of them to handle. But the offensive upgrade here is
serious enough to where I like the pick and think this is about as well as
the Lakers could have possibly hoped to have done on draft night.
 

夠的話，會使我喜歡這次選擇，並認為這是湖人在本次選秀可能希望做到的最佳結果。
 
輸家
 
Detroit Pistons and Cade Cunningham(底特律活塞與Cade Cunningham)
 
Look, I don’t love doing this. I actually like Ron Holland as a player, and
this isn’t his fault that the Pistons took him. I think he’s going to turn
out to be a useful NBA player in some respect, with some potential for
significant upside. But, man, another wing who can’t shoot is just the last
thing this Pistons team needed unless they’re planning on offloading some of
their other recently-drafted young players.
 

 
In an NBA that is more shooting-conscious than ever, the Pistons have drafted
non-shooters to be significant parts of their core in the lottery in three
straight drafts. In 2022, they took Jalen Duren. He’s a center, so it’s
more manageable, but the NBA is becoming more five-out on offense than ever.
In 2023, they took Ausar Thompson, who is one of the biggest projects as a
shooter that I can remember among top-10 picks. And this year, it’s Holland,
who made under 25 percent from 3. Even Jaden Ivey, whom they selected at No.
5 in 2022, isn’t really a player who gets aggressively guarded off the ball
like a shooter. Neither does Isaiah Stewart, despite his improvement as a
shooter in his first years.
 

 
The team just is going to have absolutely no space to operate. And while you
don’t have to necessarily play all of these guys at once, in all likelihood
you’re probably going to play at least two or three of them with Cade
Cunningham. That’s the reality of taking guys in the top five when you’ve
been a bad team. You hope that these guys can develop together into a
cohesive unit that eventually turns your organization around.
 

 
More than anything, I think a pick like this just makes Cunningham’s life
drastically harder. A maestro out of ball screens and a dynamic midrange
pull-up scorer, Cunningham already generally struggles to find any space in
the midrange to make plays, either for himself or his teammates. Holland isn’
t going to help that.
 

 
The Pistons would likely counter with two points. First, new president of
basketball operations Trajan Langdon just brought renowned shooting coach
Fred Vinson with him from New Orleans. Vinson is regarded as one of the best
shooting coaches in the league, but he’s not a miracle worker. Holland and
Thompson are multi-year projects as shooters, even with both being regarded
as having great work ethics. It’s going to take a lot of time to get them
even to a workable place where they’re making spot-up shots at a high enough
level to where defenders even care about defending them. Second, they’d
point to free agency and the ability to take players on in trades as a way to
add shooting. At the end of the day, these players that they’ve taken in the
lottery are all guys that have serious expectations in one way or another,
and will likely need playing time. There’s only so much help that a
free-agent or trade-acquisition shooter can bring if they’re not stars
coming to join the fray here.
 

 
Again, I like Holland as a player. I just don’t get the fit. I would have
traded down, and I think my price-point threshold to trade down and acquire
assets would have been lower than Langdon’s.
 
再次強調，我喜歡Holland這位球員。我只是覺得他不適合。我會選擇向下交易，我認為我
向下交易和獲取資產的價值點會比Langdon低。
 
Milwaukee Bucks 密爾瓦基公鹿
 
I think I was probably higher on A.J. Johnson than anyone in the public
sphere rating prospects, and I couldn’t get him any higher than No. 32 on my
board. Even as a fan of Johnson, I think what the Bucks did tonight was
substantially reach on a player that I consider to be a multi-year project
while they’re in the middle of what they hope is a title chase in 2025.
 

 
There were league sources on teams that I spoke with who did not see Johnson
as draftable this year (others, like me, had him around the turn of the first
round). It’s just a remarkable risk to take for a team that has had about as
little success in the NBA Draft as any organization in the league since Jon
Horst took over. The only one that is a bona fide hit is Donte DiVincenzo,
and the organization gave up on him before he came into his own in Golden
State and, especially this past season, in New York. Sam Merrill also
qualifies as a hit, but they also gave up on him before he went on to become
a lethal shooter in Cleveland’s rotation. The only real hit here is A.J.
Green, an undrafted free agent who looks poised to potentially enter their
rotation next season.
 

Green，一個落選球員，明年有望進入他們的輪替陣容。
 
(心得:我都不知道公鹿這麼慘 不過想想Beauchamp也是蠻慘)
 
Johnson certainly represents a swing for the fences, at least. He’s a
developmental scoring guard who has some serious wiggle and athleticism. Down
the road, I think there are a lot of outcomes where he’s a positive player
in the NBA. But he also was among the least productive players in the NBL
over in Australia this past season. He’s under 170 pounds and nowhere near
playing in the NBA. I had multiple front-office sources from other teams
jokingly speculate to me that the Bucks took Johnson simply so Doc Rivers
wouldn’t have to worry about playing a rookie in his first full season in
charge in Milwaukee.
 

 
He’s going to require a lot of time and effort developmentally to reach his
ceiling. Truly, I hope he gets it from the Bucks. I think Johnson can be a
real player. But the Bucks’ track record over the last seven years hasn’t
been particularly strong in that regard. It’s tough to buy into this as a
sharp pick. It feels like the Bucks overthought this, especially when it’s
likely Johnson would have been available at No. 33.
 

 
Two other shoulder shrugs
 
Atlanta Hawks 亞特蘭大老鷹
 
Any time you take the No. 5 player on my board at No. 1, I’m not going to be
thrilled about it. But Zaccharie Risacher will likely turn into a solid
player in the NBA. He’s a good shooter and has solid defensive instincts in
team settings. I don’t see the upside because I don’t love his on-ball game
— he gets pushed off the ball a bit too easily right now and doesn’t really
have much explosiveness or balance on the ball to be able to withstand
contact (or even project that).
 

 
But Risacher was in my top tier of players this year, and I’m not going to
crush the Hawks for staying within that group and taking a relatively safe
player (comparatively to the others available) that they feel has some room
for growth. I think he fits well with Jalen Johnson on the wing and in the
frontcourt long-term (Johnson the power playmaker with supreme athleticism,
Risacher the skilled shooter and finesse, floor-spacing wing), and will
probably turn out just fine. It’s not a sexy pick, but it’s one I’m OK
with.
 

 
Memphis Grizzlies 曼菲斯灰熊
 
Typically, when I have a player at No. 17 on my board and they go No. 9, I’m
going to think that a mistake was made somewhere along the way. Indeed, if I
were running the Grizzlies, I would have loved to have moved up and selected
Donovan Clingan at either No. 5 or No. 6. But it takes two to tango, and it
seems like the price points on those two picks were just too high.
 
正常來說，當我把一個球員排在我的榜單第17位，而他們在第9順位被選中時，我會認為某
個環節出了錯。確實，如果我經營灰熊隊，我會喜歡向上交易並在第5或第6順位選擇
Donovan Clingan。但交易需要雙方合意，似乎這兩個順位的價格太高了。
 
Instead, they went with Zach Edey, the monster 7-foot-4 center from Purdue
who has polarized the basketball world all season. He’s as dominant a force
as we’ve seen in college basketball in the last two decades because of his
height. He rebounds everywhere, improved drastically in drop coverage
throughout his career in ball-screen coverage, and can establish position
against almost anyone. I think the latter point is the key. I think Edey is
so big and so strong that he’s very likely to continue being able to
establish his spot anywhere. That’s going to make him, at the very least, a
productive NBA player. Maybe he does settle in as a backup who is just an
absolute monster to deal with. But I think there’s more room for high-end
outcomes than other people expect, too.
 

 
He was the next true center on my board after Clingan was selected. And with
the roster crunch that the Grizzlies currently have, I think they were
probably more set on the center position than other teams may have been,
given how essential that need was for them to keep Jaren Jackson Jr. in his
preferred role at power forward.
 

 
So why was I a bit lower at No. 17? I just worry a bit about what Edey will
be able to do in the playoffs. I think teams will likely be pretty aggressive
trying to matchup hunt him in those settings, and probably will have more
success doing that than will allow him to stay on the court for bundles of
minutes. But with Jackson in tow already as well as Brandon Clarke as he gets
back into playing shape following his Achilles injury, the team already has
some real frontcourt versatility.
 

 
I’m not saying the pick is a home run. But I think it’s entirely defensible
given Memphis’ situation. They’re an organization that unequivocally
marches to the beat of their own drum come draft time. Sometimes it works
(G.G. Jackson looks like an enormous hit already) and sometimes it doesn’t
(David Roddy was a surprise that is already no longer with the team).
 

--
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※ 作者: EZ78 2024-06-28 02:39:05
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