---

※ 引述《Jonathan905 (J仔)》之銘言：
: 備註請放最後面 違者新聞文章刪除
: 1.媒體：經濟日報
: 2.記者署名：編譯劉忠勇／綜合外電
: 3.完整新聞標題：彭博：自滿心理戳破台灣除圍堵外什麼都沒有的防疫防線
因為這不是黨報，所以我想可信度肯定有問題，我決定要找到真正的原始內容
並且翻譯出來給大家知道，這絕對是統媒扭曲原文。

https://bloom.bg/3v86bWk
Complacency Let Covid Erode Taiwan’s Only Line of Defense
自滿讓新冠病毒侵蝕臺灣唯一的防線

補充：
作者
Samson Ellis https://twitter.com/samsonellis 他現在人就在台灣
Cindy Wang https://twitter.com/hwang61 她也長駐在台北
Michelle Fay Cortez https://twitter.com/faycortez 彭博的醫學、科學與藥物專家
歡迎覺青去抗議留言

本文：

All the virus had to do was get through the border.
病毒要作的就只要通過邊境就行了

Until this week, Taiwan’s Covid-19 containment appeared to be so effective
that virtually no other defenses were put in place: few tests, no local
surveillance to pick up undetected infection and close to zero vaccination.
直到本週以前，臺灣對Covid-19的控制似乎非常有效，幾乎沒有其他防禦措施:很少進
行檢測，沒有地方監測發現未發現的感染，疫苗接種幾乎爲零。

Lauded as one of most successful places in the world at containment, a high
level of complacency about the risks had set in among both the public and
authorities. Covid-19 seemed to be something happening only in the outside
world.
被譽爲世界上遏制疫情最成功的地方之一，公衆和當局都對風險高度自滿。Covid-19似乎
只是發生在外部世界的事情。

The virus’s opening was an ill-fated decision on April 15 to shorten
quarantine for airline crew to just three days, as carriers struggled to
operate their cargo lines with staff undergoing 14-day isolation periods.
Infected pilots introduced a more transmissible U.K. variant, whose spread
was then accelerated through a network of “hostess bars” -- places both
staff and patrons were reluctant to be associated with, making contact
tracing more difficult.


Taiwan reported 267 new infections Wednesday, bringing the total over the
past few days to 1,291 -- a small number in global terms but an astonishing
one in a place that, before May 1, had posted just 1,132 cases during the
entire pandemic.


The surge from zero to quadruple digits signals that undetected spread has
been occurring for months, and concern is now growing that Taiwan will go the
way of other cautionary tales, from the outbreak last year in Australia’s
Victoria state that took a brutal three-month lockdown to quell, to Thailand’
s ongoing surge driven by prison clusters.


“If they have 300 diagnosed cases, they have 3,000 cases in the community --
they just don’t know it.” said Gregory Poland, a virologist and director of
the Mayo Clinic’s Vaccine Research Group. “It’s going to require a hard
lockdown, what’s called a circuit-breaker approach, and then getting the
vaccine out as quickly as they can.”


The problem is, there are no vaccines. As in many places that seem to have
eliminated the virus locally, Taiwan’s inoculation drive is lagging behind
European and North American economies, a major vulnerability that could trap
it in a stop-start cycle of restrictions like Singapore, Hong Kong and other
regional peers.


Taiwan officials on Wednesday expanded restrictions to the entire island as
cases rose, closing recreation venues and entertainment businesses, urging
companies to allow staff to work from home and limiting the size of
gatherings.
隨着案件增多，臺灣官員週三將限制擴大至整個島內，關閉了娛樂場所和娛樂企業，敦促
企業允許員工在家工作，並限制聚會的規模。

The government is hoping that the measures can help it fend off a hard
lockdown, which will be triggered if an average of at least 100 new daily
cases is reported for 14 consecutive days and the source is unidentified in
half of the cases.
政府希望這些措施可以幫助它避免硬封鎖，如果連續14天平均每天報告至少100例新病例
，並且其中一半病例的來源不明，就會觸發硬封鎖。

“Be mentally prepared that there will be tougher regulations on activities
if community transmission is not under control,” New Taipei City Mayor Hou
Yu-ih said at a briefing Monday. “We are close to another alert level for
Covid-19.”
新北市市長侯友宜在週一的新聞發佈會上說:“要做好心理準備，如果社區傳播不能得到
控制，將會有更嚴格的活動規定。”“我們已經接近Covid-19的另一個警報級別。”

Health minister Chen Shih-chung expressed confidence Wednesday Taiwan will
not enter a hard lockdown, saying officials are working hard to stay on top
of the sources of all new infections.

臺灣衛生部長陳時中星期三表示有信心，臺灣不會進入硬封鎖。他說，臺灣官員正在努力
控制所有新感染源。

Border Crossing
跨越邊境

The coronavirus’s most likely route past border defenses was the Novotel
hotel near Taiwan’s biggest airport, Taoyuan International. Taiwanese
exports -- in particular semiconductors and other electronic components --
are in high demand, and Taoyuan is one of the world’s busiest air cargo hubs.


While China Airlines Ltd. crew members quarantined in one part of the
Novotel, another wing was open to members of the public attracted by cheap
staycation deals. More than 30 of the recent cases have been linked to the
airline and hotel by Taiwan’s Centers for Disease Control. Following the
lapse, the government ordered all China Airlines pilots and some flight
attendants to undergo 14-day quarantine as a “circuit breaker.” But
three-day quarantine is expected to return after that, and for EVA Airways
Corp., the rules never changed. For the Novotel cases, a clear infection
chain is yet to be identified.
雖然華航有限公司(China Airlines Ltd.，簡稱:華航)的機組人員被隔離在諾富特酒店的
一個部分，但受廉價居家度假優惠吸引，另一個部分對公衆開放。臺灣疾病控制中心


It’s an illustration of one of Taiwan’s key problems. Covid testing has
been comparatively infrequent there, a strategy that the Taiwan CDC justified
several times last year by saying that mass testing would increase the risk
of false positives wasting medical resources.
這說明了臺灣的一個關鍵問題。那裏的冠狀病毒檢測相對較少，去年臺灣疾控中心曾多次
爲這一策略辯護，稱大規模檢測會增加假陽性的風險，浪費醫療資源。

That’s a position counter to global best practices on testing, with most
governments more worried about false negatives entering the population and
triggering spread.
這一立場與全球最好的檢測做法相反，因爲大多數政府更擔心假陰性結果進入人羣並引發
傳播。

Taiwan administered 0.18 coronavirus tests per 1,000 people on May 16,
according to Our World in Data. In Australia the number is 1.8, while in
Singapore, it’s 13.1.
根據我們的世界數據，5月16日，臺灣每1000人中進行了0.18例冠狀病毒檢測。在澳大利
亞，這一數字是1.8，而在新加坡，這一數字是13.1。

Testing is critical because it’s the only way to know where and how fast the
virus is moving. Increasing testing will be a key step if Taiwan wants to
avoid a hard lockdown, said Gigi Gronvall, a senior scholar at the Center for
Health Security at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health.


“That needs to be a big part of what they do next,” Gronvall said. “Even
the use of rapid tests are able to quickly identify people who are
infectious. That’s something that should be deployed and scaled up.”
格隆瓦爾說:“這需要成爲他們下一步工作的重要組成部分。”“即使使用快篩也能
快速識別出感染者。這是應該部署和擴大的東西。”

Since its lack of outbreak meant it didn’t have to keep up with the latest
practices in fighting Covid-19, Taiwan did not put in place measures that
other places like Singapore and Hong Kong have used to detect asymptomatic
carriers.
由於臺灣沒有疫情爆發，不需要跟上新冠肺炎疫情的最新情況，所以沒有像新加坡、香港
等地那樣採取措施，發現無症狀感染者。

The high share of infected people who are asymptomatic is a key challenge
with the coronavirus and makes containment much harder than with pandemics
like the 2003 SARS outbreak.
無症狀感染者的高比例是冠狀病毒的一個關鍵挑戰，這使得遏制疫情比2003年SARS疫情等
大流行困難得多。

Infection Hotspot
感染熱點

One way to detect asymptomatic spread is wastewater surveillance, which can
pick up traces of where the virus is lurking. Another is routine testing of
high-risk populations like migrant-worker communities or nightlife staff.
檢測無症狀傳播的一種方法是廢水監測，這可以發現病毒潛伏的地方。另一種方法是對移
民工人社區或夜生活人員等高危人羣進行例行檢測。

In Taiwan, the latter is the nexus of its outbreak.
在臺灣，後者是疫情爆發的紐帶。

Many of Taipei’s illicit hostess bars are found in the city’s Wanhua
district, which has become a hot spot for infection. More than 2,000 people
were tested locally as of Sunday, with a positive rate of 10.8%. A rate
higher than 5% indicates the dragnet in the search for people who may have
been exposed to the virus isn’t wide enough.



Bars where patrons pay to spend time socializing with escorts known as “hosts
” or “hostesses” pose a number of virus risks, as authorities in Japan
have also discovered. These establishments tend to have few windows and poor
ventilation, while close contact -- including sharing drinks or singing
together -- can allow infections to spread. Alcohol consumption makes
reckless behavior more likely, and customers are often reluctant to admit
they have visited these clubs, which makes tracing coronavirus cases even
harder.


For instance, contact tracing has linked dozens of cases to a past president
of Lions Club International, who was later found to have spent time at a
hostess bar in Wanhua. “We didn’t know the connection to tea house at first,
” Health Minister Chen said, using a euphemism for these establishments. He
added that the patient only shared the information “after our investigation.
” The hostesses themselves are often reticent too. One recent patient was
admitted to a general hospital ward for three days with another ailment
before staff gave her a Covid test, at which point she admitted she was the
boss of a hostess bar.


The question now is how Taiwan gets the situation back under control.
現在的問題是臺灣如何控制局勢。

The virus is running rampant among a population where few people have been
vaccinated or previously infected. As of Monday, just 0.9% of Taiwan’s 23.5
million people had received their first vaccine shot. China has administered
enough vaccinations for about 14.5% of its population, while more than
one-third of the U.S. -- and more than 30% of the U.K. -- is already fully
protected.


It will be hard to ramp up inoculations quickly. Convincing a population that
hasn’t felt much threat from the virus to get vaccinated is one issue. But
there’s also the supply chain. As of Tuesday, Taiwan had only taken delivery
of 315,000 doses of the AstraZeneca Plc vaccine, with another 410,000 doses
arriving today.


Taipei’s representative to the U.S., Hsiao Bi-khim, said in a Facebook post
on Tuesday that 5 million Moderna shots will arrive in the middle of the
year, but even that will cover only a fraction of the population. Central
Epidemic Command Center spokesperson Chuang Jen-hsiang said in April that the
next batch of AstraZeneca vaccines will likely arrive by June 15, and Taiwan
is likely to be a beneficiary of U.S. President Joe Biden’s pledge to share
millions of doses of FDA-authorized vaccines with foreign nations by the end
of June.
臺北駐美國代表蕭美琴週二在臉書上說，今年年中會有500萬張Moderna的疫苗到達，但即
便如此，也只能覆蓋一小部分人口。中央流行指揮中心發言人莊仁祥說4月,阿斯
利康的下一批疫苗可能會到達在6月15日和臺灣可能是美國總統拜登的受益者的承諾分享
數百萬FDA-authorized疫苗的劑量與外國國家到6月底。


The positive rate in fast-screening stations in Taipei City dropped to 4.7%
on Tuesday from 11% on Friday, Taiwan’s Central News Agency reported, citing
Mayor Ko Wen-je and stating that stay-at-home curbs help control the
outbreak. Officials hope that measures like contact tracing and a population
highly compliant with public health curbs like mask-wearing can keep spread
under control until more vaccines arrive.


It could be a long wait.
可能要等很長時間。

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結束

我知道很多人看不完這些內容，我用懶人包的方式說結論。

1. 原始記者翻譯的不錯，內容基本沒有偏頗錯誤。
2. 大外宣讓台灣覺得防疫世界第一
3. 台灣不普篩，大家都篩就你找藉口不篩，大家都怕偽陰就你怕偽陽。
4. 3+11。
5. 沒有疫苗。
6. 不打疫苗。
7. 趕快封城然後趕快打疫苗，這是唯一辦法。
8. 阿，台灣沒有疫苗捏。

心得：
恭喜台灣讓世界看到.....負面範例。

補充：
人口數不到台灣一半的捷克，檢驗能量全開的上限單日可以達到超過20萬件。

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